Boeing S.C. wants to buy nearly 1,100 acres in N. Charleston

By Warren Wise and Brendan Kearney

The so-called Boeing effect is going to get bigger — a lot bigger.

Nine months after Charleston County Aviation Authority Chairman Chip Limehouse leaked in a public meeting that Boeing was eyeing more airport property for expansion, the aerospace giant took steps Thursday to potentially triple the size of its footprint in North Charleston, laying claims to more than 800 additional acres around its 787 plant.

The authority, which owns Charleston International Airport, voted unanimously Thursday to begin the process of selling Boeing Co. 320 acres along International Boulevard across from its existing plane-making operation. No price has been set.

The airport board also voted to offer the Chicago-based airplane manufacturer the first right of refusal on 488 acres straddling Michaux Parkway at Dorchester Road and abutting the Air Force base, as well as the option to purchase the 265 acres under its existing manufacturing campus.

“This is a major Christmas present for the Lowcountry,” said Limehouse, who is also a state lawmaker and is considering a run for Congress. “We’ve tied our hat to the rocket ship Boeing.”

Boeing did not disclose any concrete plans for the property.

Before it could build, the airport board must obtain an appraisal to compare with Boeing’s and eventually settle on a price. Then, any development plans must clear environmental and regulatory hurdles.

“I think the best thing we can say right now is anticipated, possible future growth,” Boeing South Carolina chief counsel Mark Fava said. “We don’t ‘land-bank,’ and I think our past practices will show that.”

Nevertheless, Thursday’s announcement set off speculation among company observers and analysts about Boeing’s long-term strategy.

Some believe the company will bring other commercial airplane production lines to North Charleston, while others emphasized the leverage the holdings would give Boeing in negotiations with its powerful unions in Washington and governments in other states.

“We believe Boeing is preparing to eventually locate new airplane programs in Charleston rather than Washington State,” Scott Hamilton of Issaquah, Wash.-based aviation consulting firm Leeham Co. wrote in an email Thursday.

Hamilton and others, like London-based analyst Saj Ahmad, said he would “not be at all surprised” to see the double-stretch Dreamliner, the 787-10, assembled in North Charleston.

Hamilton also floated the possibility of the 777X or the eventual successor to the 737 MAX being made in South Carolina in the coming decades.

“This is entirely our assessment; we can’t say we know anything about this,” Hamilton said. “But the old adage is that if it looks like a duck and walks like a duck, then it’s a duck. And this sure quacks to us.”

On the other hand, aerospace analyst Richard Aboulafia said “there’s a very good chance they’re going to expand, but nothing is guaranteed.”

“Basically, why not have that option?” Aboulafia said, adding that he doesn’t think anything will spring up there in the next few years. “It also sends a message to anyone you might be negotiating with elsewhere that you’re serious about keeping your options open.”

Aboulafia, vice president of The Teal Group, a Virginia-based consultancy, downplayed the idea of a major shift in manufacturing to South Carolina, and doesn’t think it has specifically to do with Boeing’s ongoing negotiations with the Society of Professional Engineering Employees in Aerospace in Washington state.

“It’s unlikely that this facility will be used to stand up a corps of engineers like they have back in Washington,” Aboulafia said. “I think it’s more of a broader message.”

“It shows their production line diversification efforts seem to be paying off,” he added.

The news of the land deal was welcomed in Columbia.

“It’s proof positive that South Carolina is a place where businesses flourish,” Gov. Nikki Haley’s spokesman Rob Godfrey wrote in an email.

A spokesman for Washington Gov. Christine Gregoire declined to say whether the deal is cause for concern there.

“Boeing has a bright future in Washington, adding more than 13,000 employees in our state in the last year to reach a new high-water mark of more than 87,000 workers,” Jason Kelly, Gregoire’s spokesman, wrote in an email, emphasizing the governor’s investment in aerospace education.

“We are focused on maintaining Washington’s position as a world leader in commercial airplane production.”

Back story

Fava said Boeing broached the possibility of acquiring more of the Aviation Authority land in a closed-door meeting “many months ago,” declining to be more specific.

“It begins with a discussion and then it goes into deeper discussions and then you’ve got to go through due diligence,” said Rick Muttart, Boeing South Carolina’s director of site services. “It’s a process that you’ve got to go through.”

The approval came a week after Boeing closed on the purchase of three neighboring office buildings totaling 178,000 square feet from the South Carolina Research Authority.

The final OK came Thursday after about an hour-long, closed-door meeting. South Carolina Speaker of the House Bobby Harrell and state Sens. Larry Grooms and Paul Campbell attended the meeting along with Boeing officials, including the company’s top in-house lawyer, former federal judge J. Michael Luttig.

Airport board proxy member and Charleston County Council Vice Chairman Elliott Summey, sitting in for his father, North Charleston Mayor Keith Summey, made the motion for the deal.

“I think it’s encouraging they believe in our community as much as we believe in them,” the younger Summey said. “This says more about our workforce than our politicians.”

Charleston Mayor Joe Riley, who also sits on the airport board, called the development “wonderful news” for the region.

The undeveloped property Boeing set its sights on contains about 20 percent wetlands and is home to the airport’s radar facility, Summey said. The Federal Aviation Administration also must sign off on the deal after considering Charleston International’s future expansion needs and whether the sale price is fair.

“Then, at the end of the day, if the parties say that’s not the price we’re willing to offer it at, or that’s not the price we’re willing to purchase it at, we at least know what the price is,” Fava said.

But it seems unlikely they won’t be able to strike a deal.

Boeing received more than $900 million in state and local government incentives to build a 787 final-assembly factory here, according to a Post and Courier analysis. The massive factory opened in summer 2011, delivered its first locally made plane in October and its second on Thursday, both to Air India.

Limehouse said the proceeds of the land sale would go to the $200 million redevelopment and expansion of the airport’s 27-year-old passenger terminal.

More than 6,000 Boeing employees and contractors work at Boeing’s local operations, which include a year-old interiors fabrication plant off Ladson Road. The company leases the land under its existing operations from the Aviation Authority. That lease expires in 2041, but Boeing wants to purchase its existing property by 2025, said Fava.

If Boeing acquires all the land it is seeking, it will amass nearly 1,100 of the 1,300 acres Charleston County Aviation Authority currently owns at Charleston International.

“It’s an exciting milestone in the development of Charleston International Airport,” Airport Director Sue Stevens said. “After two and a half years of talks, I feel like 10 pounds has been lifted off my shoulders.”

25 Best Places to Retire

Summerville, South Carolina

Best if you’re looking for: Small town
Median home price: $143,000
Top state income tax: 7%

CNNMoney – In the late 19th century, medical experts deemed Summerville one of the best places in the world to treat lung and throat disorders; they credited the dry air and a plethora of pine trees.

Today Summerville offers much of the history and charm of nearby Charleston but in a smaller, more affordable setting.

And modern-day ailments are cured in the 94-bed Summerville Medical Center, which scores top points from the Joint Commission for its treatment of heart attacks, heart failure, and pneumonia.

Props to That: Property managers put in long days, handle brisk business in vibrant rental market

By Jim Parker

The Post and Courier

Debbie Miler has logged close to 30 years in real estate, yet she’s hard-pressed to remember a more active time in the leasing side of the business.

“Oh my gosh, it’s unbelievable,” says Miler, who heads up the property management division of Miler Properties in Summerville. “We can’t keep rentals on the market now,” she says. “We have people offering to pay more for rent.”

The rental spike stems from two things, she says. There’s a growing number of workers relocating to the Charleston area for large employers such as Boeing, the port of Charleston and local military bases. At the same time, the sluggish housing market has left a larger-than-normal share of properties as undervalued. “Rather than let properties sit,” she says, owners are renting them out until they can secure a decent sale price.

Miler Properties is one of the larger property managers in the Charleston area, overseeing 700 residences. “The great thing is we are getting a lot more properties as well,” she says, noting many family tenants want to move in before school starts next month.

Yet with a goodly share of homes unsold, everybody is getting into the act. “We have a lot of competition,” she says. One side effect has been an extra-worked staff that is “really stressed out,” to the point that the business is advertising for an additional full-time property manager, Miler says.

The rental blitz is taking place in various degrees throughout greater Charleston. In what’s increasingly a landlord’s market, close to 3,000 properties have been rented in the past six months at an average $1,200 a month.

Tenants are seeing an average $100 increase this year on every $1,000 they pay in rent. Finding leasable properties is more difficult since they’re being snatched up so fast. And whereas apartments were the overwhelming choice of renters in the past, more than 20 percent of leases in the Charleston area and 44 percent downtown are for houses. Yet the apartment business is hardly struggling: Developers have poured capital into new apartment home complexes in Mount Pleasant and Goose Creek among others that have brought hundreds more units to the market.

Eric Wetherington, who directs the property management division at Carolina One Real Estate, is cognizant of the revved up rental business. Carolina One’s clientele of home, condo and townhome owners who want their properties rented out has increased 25 percent from last year to more than 1,025 properties under management. Rents are up 10 percent across the board, he says.

Certain sectors of the Charleston area are stronger than others in terms of leases.

“Summerville is a very popular market,” he says. Residences fetching as much as $1,200 to $1,500 a month “are renting very quickly.”

In Mount Pleasant, some single-family home rentals are proving so popular that tenants are bidding on them, Wetherington says.

The agency’s property management chief cites two factors in the recent surge in rental business.

“We are still seeing a lot of folks coming to us to help rent homes out,” he says. At the same time, “We are starting to see more investors,” people who buy homes and condos and rent them out as income producers. Wetherington says the investor pick-up is due in part to the Lowcountry’s attractive economy.

“Charleston is a great place to live. It’s a popular market for people to buy homes and use as investments,” he says.

A beneficiary of the pick-up in rental homes, townhomes, condos and apartments has not only been the owners, who are receiving a steady stream of income. Also doing well are property management firms.

• Day-to-day managers •

While some owners self-manage their leases, many others turn the task over to professionals. Even an apartment developer typically brings in another company to take care of the day-to-day routine of screening tenants, welcoming them to the community, making repairs, fixing leaks, maintaining amenities, mowing the lawn and hosting social functions.

One local business that’s been ahead of the curve on home, condo and townhome leases is James Island-based Charleston Home Rentals.

Matt Manaker got involved in property management in 2005 and started the company the next year. Brothers Matt Azar and Josh Azar joined the company in 2009 and became partners a year later.

“We all grew up together in Connecticut,” Manaker explains.

Today, the business counts 300 owner-clients and oversees 600 houses, condos and townhomes. It handles all types of properties, charging rents from $500 to $5,000 a month.

“I think we were one of the first (in Charleston), the niche service,” Manaker says.

Along with the partners, Charleston Home Rentals consists of maintenance and cleaning chiefs and leasing agents. The business is steady year-round —- “We do a good bit for Boeing, Bosch, Blackbaud (employees),” Josh Azar says —- but also spikes at certain times or places.

One blitz of activity was earlier this month. The College of Charleston “told 1,000 students they couldn’t get on-campus housing,” he says. That sent hundred of college kids, and more-so their parents, scrambling for places to lease downtown.

One place turned out to be 35 Society St., a three-story brick residence and smaller dwelling in back divided into 10 rental units from 900- to 2,000-square-feet. A number of the tenants are college students, he says.

Charleston Home Rentals started managing the property in January, Manaker says. Just this week, Rachel Cottingham and her two employees cleaned a unit to make it ready for a new tenant, while Wes Austin fixed a busted air conditioning unit.

Cottingham says she jumped into the cleaning trade after she lost her job at MUSC during a round of layoffs. She wanted a position with flexibility, not 9-5. “I’ve been at it seven years now,” she says.

Cottingham, who contracts with Charleston Home Rentals, and her crew are thorough. They scrub and dust everything from high-up ceiling fans to the tight spaces behind the washer and dryer.

She says there’s no pattern on messiness. “I’ve gone into really expensive homes and I’m in shock,” Cottingham says.

Austin, who runs Charleston Real Estate Repairs and contracts with the home rental company to head up maintenance duties, has had his share of late night emergency calls.

Take an incident a week ago at a local residence. “The unit above flooded out the unit below,” Austin says.

He was notified at 11 p.m. Saturday. “It wasn’t resolved until 2 a.m.,” Manaker says. The culprit? “It was a toilet spraying (nonstop).”

Especially of late, Manaker and company haven’t had much time where they are totally away from the job.

“I sleep with my cell phone,” he quipped.

• Leasing the future •

Like his colleagues, Manaker notes that lease rates on Charleston Home Rentals’ properties have risen 5 to 10 percent in the past year. He believes that many properties were undervalued before that.

Wetherington, meanwhile, forecasts that the rental business will continue to extend beyond apartments.

“I think for the foreseeable future (you’ll see) more and more rental homes,” he says. Banks are starting to loosen up stringent lending requirements and taking part in short sales, where the borrower gets a break on paying off their mortgage. That’s a good thing, he says. It should help clean out the distressed property backlog. But even if the deals close today, short sellers are forbidden from buying a new home for three years. Wetherington believes the ex-homeowners aren’t likely to choose to rent an apartment for a full 36 months.

“They’re looking for homes,” he says.

Boeing 787 Dreamliner to make tournament flyover

The 44th annual RBC Heritage Presented by Boeing is taking place April 9-15, 2012 over the Harbour Town Golf Links on Hilton Head Island and those attending the tournament on Friday will experience the thrill of a lifetime.

At 12 noon, Friday, April 13, a Boeing 787 Dreamliner will make a low-altitude flyover approaching from the South from tee to green over the 18th fairway, pending FAA final approval and clear weather. The flyover will occur during the second round of the PGA TOUR event.

“The RBC Heritage offers the perfect spot to showcase the 787 Dreamliner in South Carolina,” said Jack Jones, Boeing South Carolina Vice President and General Manager. “I’m always excited to offer an opportunity for people to view first-hand our company’s most technologically advanced airplane.”

“This is the same airplane model that South Carolinians are building at Boeing’s South Carolina facility.  We are so excited to be able to showcase the tremendous work that people in the Palmetto State are now accomplishing,” said Tournament Director Steve Wilmot. “We are equally as excited for our spectators and PGA TOUR golfers to be able to witness this amazing sight.”

Boeing’s $18 billion deal is biggest ever

By Aaron Smith

NEW YORK (CNNMoney) — Boeing and Emirates Airlines have signed an $18 billion deal — the largest deal in the aircraft manufacturer’s history — to supply the airline with 50 aircraft, with options to expand the deal even further.

U.S.-based Boeing has agreed to build 50 of its 777-300ER airliners for the Dubai-based Emirates Airlines, the companies said. The agreement also contains options to supply an additional 20 aircraft, which could add $8 billion to the deal.

At $18 billion, this is already Boeing’s largest deal as measured in dollars, the aircraft manufacturer said Sunday. The company also said this is a record year for the 777, with orders for this year totaling 182 so far. That breaks the prior record of 154 orders in 2005.

Emirates’ fleet of 94 777s is the largest in the world, according to Boeing. The 777-300ER is designed for long-haul flights, with the “ER” standing for “extended range.”

The magnitude of the deal provides a hopeful sign about the economy. Airlines in particular suffered when fuel prices spiked in 2008, and have coped by eliminating their least fuel-efficient flights and by adding fees to services that were once included in the fare, like food, check bags and pet travel.

Boeing also unveiled the 787 Dreamliner last month. After long delays in production, the Dreamliner made its first commercial flight on Oct. 27 from Tokyo to Hong Kong.

The Dreamliner is the first commercial jet to be built from light-weight composite material made from carbon fibers. United Continental Airlines is the first U.S. carrier to take delivery of the plane, which it plans to start flying next year.

United also recently launched its first biofueled flight, with a 737-800 produced by Boeing.

Emirates, which refers to itself as “the world’s fastest growing airline,” released its results for the first half of its fiscal year on Nov. 3, saying that it had added 10 aircraft and 3,400 staffers during that time.

Emirates now has 161 aircraft, ramping up its fleet from 60 in the last seven years.

ANA flies away to Japan with first Boeing 787

EVERETT, Wash. — Signed, sealed and delivered, the first Boeing 787 took off from Everett, Wash., on Tuesday in the hands of launch customer All Nippon Airways.

Ramp workers cheered the takeoff at 7:15 a.m. PDT, which was about 45 minutes later than expected. The plane climbed into an overcast sky, tipped its wings and headed west to Japan.

Boeing officials handed over a ceremonial key to airline executives Monday, after a three-year delay in bringing the new wide-body jetliner to market. The plane goes into service in November in Japan.

Chicago-based Boeing says a weight savings from a high-tech plastic skin will save airlines fuel while passengers enjoy features such as bigger windows and luggage bins.

Airlines have ordered more than 800 of the planes that will compete with the Airbus A350.

By March, Boeing is to deliver 12 of the 787s to ANA, which is to receive all of the 55 planes it ordered by the end of 2017. The planes are assembled at Boeing’s wide-body factory in Everett and also a new plant Boeing opened in Charleston, S.C.

The new jet is the first commercial airliner built using carbon fiber — a strong, lightweight, high-tech plastic — rather than the typical aluminum skin.

The use of carbon fiber allowed for several other breakthroughs, including larger windows with electronic dimming rather than shades, and pressurization that’s more akin to what passengers feel at ground level. Without corrosion-prone aluminum, cabin humidity levels can be set higher, easing dry noses and throats. The lighter jet will be quieter and use about 20 percent less fuel than a comparably sized aluminum aircraft.

At Monday’s ceremony, aviation industry analyst Peter Clark, who traveled from Auckland, New Zealand, called the 787’s delivery one of the four major events in the history of commercial aviation, after the development of the Boeing 707, the 747 and Concorde.

Turn vacation home into cash cow

By Steve Bergsman

To me, one of this year’s biggest surprises in the hot initial public offerings market was the success of HomeAway Inc., an Austin-based operator of vacation-rental websites.

In June, the company’s successful IPO raised $231 million as HomeAway opened trading with a nifty price of $27 a share.

I always considered HomeAway more of a real estate play on vacation-home rentals, but the IPO market, which has been very generous this year to startup technology companies, viewed HomeAway more of a tech play, as it owns more than 30 sites mostly dedicated to the online vacation-rental business.

I guess we were both right.

Still, the IPO caught my attention, and when I began looking at HomeAway’s core business I came across a recent study the firm had undertaken on the direction of the vacation-rental market.

The lead information from HomeAway was about the strength of vacation rentals heading into the peak season, but what I found more interesting was the claim that the number of owners who cover the bulk of their mortgage with rental income is increasing.

The lack of syntax obscured important trend-line information: Those investors who have a mortgage on a vacation property have been able to recapture more of that expense through rentals than had been the case in recent years.

To be specific, according to HomeAway, 48 percent of owners who financed their vacation home said they’re able to cover more than 75 percent of their mortgage by renting to travelers. That was up from 38 percent a year go.

About 65 percent of owners earn enough to cover at least 50 percent of their mortgage

Of course, this kind of positive news means more people will think about renting their vacation homes, which increases business for companies like HomeAway, so on one hand it might all be a little self-serving. On the other side of the corporate coin, companies have to do this kind of research to figure out which way their business is heading.

I called Alexis de Belloy, HomeAway’s senior vice president of North America, to see what’s what.

Underlying the change has been better rental programs by individual owners, said de Belloy. “As people get more sophisticated about renting, they are able to generate more income.”

There’s a learning cycle in the business. At first, buyers of vacation homes settle in and use the property for themselves. After two or three years, they realize they are not quite using the home as much, or even if they are, there are upkeep expenses even when they are not there, so they start to rent. Then, they have to learn how to rent with efficiency and acceptable income.

“You have to find the right places to rent and the right places to advertise,” de Belloy said. “You have to learn how to properly set your rates, how to adjust rates for the different seasons, and how to make your property stand out.”

Renting a vacation home is a slice of the property business that has come into its own, partly because of the bursting of the real estate bubble. Up until 2006, vacation-home owners didn’t really worry about expenses because they figured price appreciation would eventually override ongoing costs. Those days are over.

Indeed, even vacation-home prices suffered serious declines over the past four years. Depending on location, prices have fallen up to 50 percent from the bubble years.

“Generating income to cover the mortgage is important,” de Belloy said. “You can’t count on appreciation.”

So there is a change in mindset when it comes to vacation homes. According to research that HomeAway conducted for the National Association of Realtors, 94 percent of the people who buy second homes plan to rent them over the next 12 months, and seven out of 10 surveyed said rental income was a factor in the purchasing decision.

To check to see if all this survey information was consistent with other vacation-home rental companies, I called Stiles Bennett, president of North American operations for Newport, R.I.-based Wimco Villas.

Wimco boasts a very strong presence in the Caribbean — and that’s a totally different business. Most villa owners in those sun-drenched islands don’t have to worry about paying off their mortgages; they don’t have any. That’s due to two principal reasons: it’s difficult to get a mortgage for a Caribbean property, and many of the homeowners are wealthy.

“There are substantial operating expenses associated with owning a home in the Caribbean, so homeowners use the rental income to cover operating costs or to fund improvements,” said Bennett. “And if the home is well-presented, well-located and well-priced, they have good chance to do that.”

How’s business? Bennett’s answer was a resounding “excellent,” although it was really for the wrong reasons.

During the bubble years, development blossomed in the Caribbean because people thought they could use the properties for a few years and then flip the houses, Bennett said.

“Sadly, a lot of those homes came on the market during the midst of the recession. Now, there are more quality villa rentals than there (have) been in the past. Inventory is good and there are more homes for us to look at.”

The top markets for rentals in the Caribbean include the U.S. Virgin Islands, St. Martin, St. Barts, Turks and Caicos, and Anguilla, said Bennett.

In the United States, the hot markets, as reported by HomeAway, include Amelia Island, Fla.; Galena, Ill.; Hollywood, Calif.; Charleston, S.C.; and New Orleans.

As they say down in St. Barts, “Vive la difference” — although I don’t think they’re talking about real estate.

Boeing to redesign 737 engine amid competition

Associated Press

NEW YORK — Boeing says it’s planning to redesign the engine of its workhorse 737 airplane in an effort to quickly match growing competition from rival plane maker Airbus.

The Chicago manufacturer said Tuesday it has received commitments for 496 airplanes with the new engines from five airlines.

The redesign was spurred by an announcement by American Airlines that it would order at least 460 new jets, split between Boeing and Airbus. The deal ended Boeing’s exclusive grip on the fleet of one of the largest U.S. airlines.

Boeing Co. had been weighing whether to bolt a new, more-efficient engine onto its 737, or build an all-new plane.

Boeing says the new “re-engined” 737 will have lower operating costs than any similar airplane.

Deliveries are scheduled to begin in 2017.

Boeing shares rose 49 cents to $65.09 a share in morning trading.

Boeing 787 Dreamliner Receives FAA, EASA Certification

EVERETT, Wash., Aug. 26, 2011 /PRNewswire/ — Boeing (NYSE: BA) received certification for the all-new 787 Dreamliner from the U.S. Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) and the European Aviation Safety Agency (EASA) during a ceremony at the company’s Everett, Wash., facility.

FAA Administrator Randy Babbitt presented the U.S. Type Certificate, which verifies that the 787 has been tested and found to be in compliance with all federal regulations, to 787 Chief Pilot Mike Carriker and 787 Vice President and Chief Project Engineer Mike Sinnett, both of whom have worked on the program since the day it began.

Babbitt presented the amended Production Certificate 700 to John Cornish, vice president of 787 Final Assembly & Delivery, and Barb O’Dell, vice president of Quality for the 787 program. The Production Certificate adds the 787 to the list of Boeing Commercial Airplane production systems that have been found to be compliant with all federal regulations.

Boeing Commercial Airplanes President and CEO Jim Albaugh said, “Certification is a milestone that validates what we have promised the world since we started talking about this airplane. This airplane embodies the hopes and dreams of everyone fortunate enough to work on it. Their dreams are now coming true.”

Patrick Goudou, executive director of EASA, presented Dan Mooney, vice president of 787-8 Development, and Terry Beezhold, former leader of the 787 Airplane Level Integration Team, with the European Type Certificate for the 787.

Scott Fancher, vice president and general manager of the 787 program for Boeing, wrapped up the event addressing the broad team of those who worked on the program.

“This is truly a great airplane. From the advanced materials and innovative technologies to the improved passenger experience and unbeatable economics, the 787 really is a game-changing airplane,” Fancher said.

Zillow: Charleston area property values edge up

The relative worth of houses nationwide declined at the slowest rate in more than four years, while local values actually rose slightly.

That’s among the findings from Seattle-based Zillow in its second quarter Real Estate Market Report.

The Zillow Home Value Index was $171,600, off 6.2 percent from the same period in 2010. But values were up 0.4 percent from the first quarter, the company says.

In the Charleston area, home values rose 0.4 percent in June from the previous month and quarterly figures were up 0.7 percent. Values were down 6.6 percent from a year ago, however. The home value index for greater Charleston was $160,300.

Despite positive signs in the short term, Zillow’s Chief Economist Stan Humphries continues to predict a true bottom in home values in 2012, at the earliest, because of factors such as foreclosures and fluctuations in home demand.

Nationwide, home values have fallen 28.8 percent since they peaked in June 2006.

“While there are many positive signs in the second quarter, and it is clear the post-tax credit free-fall of home values is over, we’re not out of the woods yet,” Humphries says.

“We expect a bumpy road ahead,” he says.